Wow, I am so late to this discussion.
Needless to say, some of what I have covered been has been covered before. Sometimes I have provided references to prior points, and sometimes I have not.
But I still feel I have to summarize my opinions.
Problems:
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Force Size:
It is a fantasy that Jericho Holmes could have had the 400,000 combat field troops he is noted as having.
I've already gone over the demographics of the impossibility pretty extensively
here.
Even the whole CS military couldn't have had that many.
This simple problem absolutely blows any possibility of the suspension of disbelief out the window for me (for both Holmes' "maneuver" and for the whole SoT).
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Supply:
Samored II pointed out the water needs, but did not total up the food needs. Perhaps it was because that the water needs alone cripple the force in question.
Samored II wrote:Something like 3000 calories and two gallons of potable water per man per day. That's two million gallons of water just to get out of the initial 72 hours of heavy combat. Assuming the Bugs didn't hit the tanker trucks and no evaporation loss or spillage. Jerico might be a millitary genius but unless he could conjure up 16 million pounds of H2O, his men die of dehydration before the Swarm ever pulls back, or they die slowly hiking across the Hivelands because you can't scrounge food and water for 400,000 people while keeping in close formation and not pissing off the Xiticix.
However, the Hivelands are a near waste. There is little food to gather or hunt for (rodents and birds), and as little water, so living off the land simply isn't going to work.
Because Holmes's has already been in a lengthy battle with Tolkeen's forces, his force will have been using up their supplies at a tremendous rate before they got anywhere near the Duluth hive.
Also, 400,000 people
cannot live "off the land", even a bountiful one. It's impossible. No, really. They can't. Napoleon found it to be impossible and there is a great story linked to his need to feed his huge armies and the development of bottling that then leads to canned foods.
Cannibalism would not have helped, as that does not provide enough water.
Even a much smaller force would have faced exactly the same problems.
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Mobility/Cohesion:
Massed fields of destroyed bots and APCs would make terrain navigation for a coherent force impossible. The force would have to divert to avoid wrecks up and down the lines. As they diverted, more wrecks would be incurred, further adding to the difficultly of travel. There would be no single column moving through the Hivelands. It would be multiple disparate groups before long.
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Air-Transport:
What happened to the Death's Heads and Firestorms?
The Dragon Kings happened to them.
There is even a piece of artwork to this effect.
Also, any that survived Tolkeen's push toward the north would have run straight into swarms of airborne Xiticix.
As others have pointed out, the whole force was written off as destroyed. There would have been no one in the CS who would have sent any air transports north to a force that didn't exist anymore in their minds.
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Battle:
The Xiticix are relentless.
They do not negotiate.
They do not give up (they will not "back off"). The battle would not end until J.H.'s forces were dead, reduced to tiny groups widely separated enough to be regarded as independent and non-threatening (as in at least a .5 to 1 mile apart each), or if the Xiticix themselves were wiped out.
el magico -- also noted this
here.
While Xiticix hive complexes will battle each other over territory (if there is none to expand into), the one thing that will always unite them is an attack from outside.
All the hives would have cooperated in the defense of the Duluth hive.
So, even if the Duluth hive's many hundreds of thousands were insufficient to the task, many hundreds of thousands more would have descended upon them.
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Xiticix Tactics:
The Xiticix would had three groups. Ground forces assigned to rush. Air forces assigned to rush. Air forces carrying ranged weaponry (TK Rifles) to stand off and pick-off stragglers.
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Shooting/Not-Shooting:
It simply wouldn't matter.
The Xiticix would attack for the sole reason of the size of the force and their insane territoriality, and they would go right on attacking until the enemy was
gone.
WB23 and SoT 5 stand in direct contradiction to each other on this matter.
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Queens Relenting/Acting "Smart":
If the Queens are smart enough to see a reason to call off the attack, then they are also smart enough to realize that the force is from the nation that has been sending Xiticix killers into their hives.
The CS force is about to go out of supply, it is not dug in, the only thing fresh about it is that it has just extricated itself from a lengthy running battle, it may well be easily demoralized, and in many ways this would represent the best possible moment to wipe them out (lest they come back later to hurt the hive in the future).
I would further add that the Queens would be smart enough to realize that Tolkeen had caused this interference in the first place, and they would have headed off in that direction right after disposing of Jericho Holmes' force.
If the queens were going to be smart, they wouldn't have launched an airborne army of approximately 200K just in the opening hours. They would have assessed the situation carefully, and then if they weren't going to attack, they wouldn't have done it at all.
Except they did. That's canon, too.
Smart enough to call off an attack, but not smart enough not to launch one in the first place if you just planned on quitting later? I don't think so.
Actually, though, given WB23:XI p.8, the intelligence of Xiticix is very much that of the insect wrapped up with instinct.
The instinct of the Queens, built upon millions of years of evolution, would have been to attack.
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Dead Horse:
If some people wish to discuss this subject, they will. Those who do not feel like discussing this subject (or reading it) are not required to do so.
But coming in, reading about it, and then complaining over the discussion's existence when reading it wasn't necessary . . . what?
In any event, we have had a huge influx of new people here lately. Perhaps they have not seen this discussion before.