flatline wrote:Killer Cyborg wrote:flatline wrote:Mech-Viper Prime wrote:Can I get the cliff notes from each side?
One side thinks "presumed" is a decision made in the complete absence of evidence.
I don't think anybody's said that, just that whatever evidence Tolkeen had was not sufficient to "know" that the dimension was uninhabited.
You're being completely unreasonable in your expectations.
That level of evidence can't exist. Outside of theory (like math), it's impossible to "know" something with 100% certainty. That's why scientists always use conservative wording when explaining results. Unfortunately, the media and masses don't understand that.
--flatline
It's not about level of evidence.
The difference in the real world between knowing something and believing something is ultimately whether or not you are correct.
If I come home, see a window open, and come to conclusion that there is an intruder in my home:
1. I don't have enough evidence to say for 100% certain.
2. If I were to describe my thoughts to another person at the time, I might accurately claim "I believe that there is an intruder in my home."
3. If I were to describe my thoughts to another person at the time, I might be able to informally claim that I "know" there is an intruder in my home, even though there is not enough information to prove my hypothesis.
4. Even though my initial evidence (the open window) was technically insufficient to prove that there was anybody in the house, the legitimacy any claims of "knowing" at the time or at a later date would depend on whether or not anybody was in fact in the home at the time.
If there was in fact an intruder in the house, then I could rightly claim that I "knew" that there was an intruder in the house from the moment that that I formed my hypothesis (assuming that I was confident in it). When describing the event with the benefit of hindsight, it would generally be more common for people to say something like "KC saw the open window and knew that there was an intruder in his house" than for them to say something like "KC saw the open window and presumed that there was an intruder in the house," even though either statement would be accurate.
5. In the case at hand, regarding Tolkeen, we're dealing with an omniscient narrator that can (and does) create the reality of the game world simply by setting words onto paper. So the facts of the matter stem entirely from what is written, and how it is meant.
IF the writer had stated "Tolkeen sent the missiles to a dimension that they knew to be uninhabited," THEN that would necessarily mean that the dimension IS uninhabited. It would set the facts in stone, so to speak.
But the writer instead chose wording to the effect of "Tolkeen sent the missiles to a dimension that they presumed to be uninhabited," which does NOT necessarily mean that the dimension IS uninhabited.
Which necessarily means that Tolkeen sent the missiles to a dimension that may or may not have been inhabited (as been pointed out, kind of a Schrodinger's Cat situation, with a box that none of us can actually open).
That's all that any of us are pointing out, I believe, that Tolkeen- according to all facts and logic- sent a barrage of nuclear missiles into a dimension that they did not KNOW was uninhabited.
6. None of us know what measures Tolkeen took to determine whether or not the other dimension was uninhabited, because the books never say. They might have just assumed based on nothing but sheer hubris. Or they might have spent decades investigating this particular dimension in every conceivable way, and come to a sure conclusion that the dimension was uninhabited, supported by reams of evidence.
I agree that the first case is unlikely, but considering the fact that the writer used the term "presumed" instead of "knew," I would say that the second case is equally unlikely.
IF Tolkeen's efforts were so thorough, why would the writer not use the word "know" instead of "presume?"
7. Getting back to the original point of this particular exchange: even IF anybody was discussing "know something with 100% certainty" instead of the context that I've explained above, that still would not, in any way, shape, or form, mean or indicate that that side held the view that
"presumed" is a decision made in the complete absence of evidence.
"Not having 100% evidence" is nowhere close to "having zero evidence."